Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.553185 0.725290 0.921391 1.158285 1.433652 1.740754 2.106209
2025-04-13 0.298581 0.497353 0.758220 1.111231 1.562437 2.106735 2.799650
2025-04-20 0.167889 0.365097 0.664369 1.113714 1.735502 2.532781 3.599183
2025-04-27 0.092396 0.273101 0.592517 1.121243 1.904919 2.961050 4.429140
2025-05-04 0.043041 0.191295 0.505245 1.081112 1.993801 3.281704 5.134355
2025-05-11 0.016937 0.130968 0.428778 1.035411 2.059754 3.566321 5.799033
2025-05-18 0.006514 0.097642 0.389762 1.041107 2.198507 3.956018 6.619434
2025-05-25 0.001385 0.066227 0.337176 1.006970 2.263824 4.236086 7.292648
2025-06-01 0.000340 0.055513 0.333464 1.067106 2.489611 4.764941 8.336596
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.040514 0.306399 1.070796 2.614540 5.141707 9.169668
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036353 0.314886 1.154475 2.887206 5.758194 10.370171
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030142 0.310823 1.207187 3.105072 6.294161 11.463612
2025-06-29 NaN 0.022645 0.295249 1.231314 3.275604 6.768398 12.490452
2025-07-06 NaN 0.013895 0.260715 1.199013 3.334765 7.063969 13.257143
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009435 0.244117 1.210494 3.479353 7.504363 14.254776
2025-07-20 NaN 0.006218 0.229324 1.223148 3.625722 7.951095 15.270840
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002952 0.199827 1.182951 3.658220 8.204369 15.991180
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001069 0.171270 1.135559 3.669071 8.418084 16.651847
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000458 0.159621 1.142270 3.796806 8.837910 17.645403
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000072 0.138393 1.106222 3.824876 9.081160 18.361049
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000040 0.142457 1.170481 4.085773 9.746500 19.765272
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000002 0.132489 1.174506 4.206597 10.162411 20.773582
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000001 0.141964 1.263617 4.531864 10.955420 22.403891